Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 24.641332 29.295609 35.124963 43.176292 54.382791 70.076393 95.084226
2024-12-29 19.233393 24.401514 31.611368 43.019435 62.027977 95.911853 173.090957
2025-01-05 15.772498 20.702298 27.992013 40.469309 63.763169 113.124109 267.135655
2025-01-12 13.290387 17.806678 24.728982 37.190210 62.323642 122.895795 373.113397
2025-01-19 11.592007 15.777103 22.372527 34.731805 61.313027 133.178575 533.434266
2025-01-26 11.724975 16.542524 24.643246 41.382407 83.947516 246.126505 4193.172529
2025-02-02 11.255610 16.249718 25.010996 44.374557 100.211249 391.254544 NaN
2025-02-09 10.198196 14.834186 23.082047 41.732514 97.988085 431.287070 NaN
2025-02-16 9.780203 14.463435 23.059055 43.533180 112.266184 690.774782 NaN
2025-02-23 9.212616 13.764830 22.285173 43.272075 119.050001 970.976423 NaN
2025-03-02 8.710719 13.133278 21.556074 42.942071 125.658913 1416.987584 NaN
2025-03-09 8.390140 12.798766 21.387413 44.094143 140.789932 2896.285665 NaN
2025-03-16 7.829896 12.003795 20.214573 42.308872 140.610697 4171.574313 NaN
2025-03-23 7.446978 11.511634 19.638406 42.170865 150.445939 11183.609621 NaN
2025-03-30 6.941809 10.748989 18.386503 39.694966 143.793055 14101.225248 NaN
2025-04-06 6.430855 9.945259 16.977946 36.508287 130.755895 10395.660689 NaN
2025-04-13 6.013810 9.299154 15.871867 34.116552 122.054741 9519.179850 NaN
2025-04-20 6.205701 9.829898 17.436790 40.581646 185.487837 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 6.142642 9.855610 17.853788 43.485167 233.369507 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 5.803033 9.304963 16.839044 40.921544 217.786595 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 5.700730 9.226975 16.960043 42.669025 259.631717 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 5.511217 8.958648 16.585989 42.415701 276.083455 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 5.332014 8.701089 16.215105 42.095499 292.295055 NaN NaN